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Nº 27 · a journey to the centre of the Earth

1 millimetre a year

(roughly how fast the ball of iron at the centre of the Earth grows 🌍) and it's about as hot as the Sun's surface.

Five thousand kilometres under your feet is a ball of iron crystals 1,220 km in radius. It grows by about a millimetre a year as the liquid iron around it freezes onto it. Earthquakes that repeat years apart suggest it doesn't turn quite in step with the rest of the planet: in most readings it ran slightly ahead for decades, and in two it began to drift slightly behind around 2008 to 2010.

Start reading

Here's a number that sounds too small to matter: a millimetre a year.

It's roughly how fast a ball of iron at the very centre of the Earth is growing, as the liquid iron around it slowly freezes onto it.

The ball is 1,220 km in radius, and its surface is about 5,150 km below your feet. It's roughly as hot as the surface of the Sun, and yet it's solid.

It also turns, once a day, like you, but earthquake waves suggest, in most readings, that it isn't quite in step with the rest of the planet. By the end you'll know how anyone can tell, why some read the same waves as its surface changing shape instead, and why the headlines that said the core had "stopped spinning" were wrong.

Part one · Down to the centre

Chapter 1 into the mantle

A ball at the centre of the Earth

Cut the Earth open like a peach. Under the thin crust is the rocky mantle. At 3,480 km from the centre, rock gives way to the outer core, a deep shell of liquid iron. In the middle of that liquid sits a solid ball: the inner core, 1,220 km in radius.

your feet the thin crust, then the rocky mantle 3,480 km from the centrerock gives way to liquid iron the outer core the inner core: solid, 1,220 km in radius the centre

A slice of the Earth from your feet to the centre, drawn to scale.

The "crystal" in this story's title means crystalline: a ball of iron crystals, lined up well enough that earthquake waves cross it faster pole to pole. It isn't one giant gem.

It grows as the liquid freezes onto it, by about a millimetre a year: worked out from how fast the core cools, never measured, and a rough size, not an exact figure.

And it turns. Held to the mantle by gravity and to the liquid by magnetic forces, but not rigidly, it can turn a tiny bit faster or slower than the mantle. Both turn once a day. Most readings say the inner core ran slightly ahead for decades; two put the moment it began to slip slightly behind at around 2008 to 2010.

Inge Lehmann found it in 1936. Xiaodong Song and Paul Richards first reported its out-of-step turning in 1996.

Chapter 2 the liquid outer core

A core inside the core

In 1936 Inge Lehmann, a Danish seismologist (an earthquake scientist), published a paper with a one-letter title: "P′".

The liquid core bends earthquake waves so strongly that it leaves a shadow on the far side of the Earth. Yet faint waves were arriving inside that shadow. Lehmann worked out that the core must hold a separate inner part, which sends some of them back into the shadow: a core inside the core.

Proving it solid took longer.

  1. 1936Lehmann's "P′": a core inside the core.
  2. 1971The way the whole Earth rings like a bell after a great earthquake turned out to need a stiff inner core.
  3. 2000A team reported shear waves, which can't travel through a liquid, that had crossed it.

A 1981 reference model of the Earth gives the standard numbers: 1,220 km in radius, its surface about 5,150 km down. The squeeze there is more than three million times the air pressure at sea level.

It's a little bigger than Pluto and 1.34 times as heavy as the Moon (this page's arithmetic).

And nobody has seen it.

Chapter 3 the inner core's surface

About as hot as the Sun's surface, and solid

The inner core's surface is where the liquid is freezing, so its temperature is the freezing point of the core's iron at that crushing pressure.

In 2013 a team squeezed a speck of iron between two diamond tips, heated it with a laser and watched it with X-rays, at up to about three-fifths of the inner core's squeeze. Extended from there, their results say pure iron at the inner core's surface would melt at about 6,230 kelvin, give or take 500. Kelvin (K) is a scale that starts at absolute zero, the coldest anything can be, in steps the size of a degree Celsius.

Lighter elements lower that to roughly 5,000 to 6,000 K at the inner core's surface, uncertain by several hundred.

The Sun's visible surface is 5,772 K: about the same, though the Sun's interior is far hotter.

Three temperatures, one scale

The inner core's surfaceroughly 5,000 to 6,000 K
Pure iron there would melt atabout 6,230 K, give or take 500
The Sun's visible surface5,772 K

Guess first

Why solid?

The answer

Pressure raises iron's melting point, and in the core it rises with depth faster than the temperature does, so as the core cooled the very centre froze first.

The ball is mostly iron, with some nickel and a few per cent of something lighter, not yet pinned down.

Chapter 4 inside the inner core

What "crystal" means here

In the 1980s seismologists noticed that waves crossing the inner core near the Earth's axis arrive earlier than those crossing near the equator. It's faster pole to pole: by about 1% in a 1986 study, up to a few per cent in later work, and hardly at all in its top 60 to 80 km or so.

One iron crystal carries waves faster one way than another, but crystals pointing every which way average that out. So the ball's crystals must, on average, be lined up.

Every which waythe differences average out

Lined upfaster pole to pole

In 1995 two physicists matched the waves by treating it as "a nearly perfectly aligned aggregate" of crystals, close to one giant crystal: the source of the headlines. Today's picture is many aligned crystals, lined up differently at different depths and in its two halves.

There may even be another ball inside, an "innermost inner core" 250 to 700 km in radius. That's an interpretation.

Chapter 5 the freezing surface

Freezing from the middle out

As the core slowly cools, liquid iron freezes onto the inner core. In the classic 1992 model the ball grew fastest when small and has slowed since: today it grows at half its average rate.

So its age sets today's rate. For the most-quoted ages, half a billion to a billion and a half years, that's 0.4 to 1.2 mm a year; for 2 billion years or more, a few tenths (this page's arithmetic). "About a millimetre a year" is the right size, and roughly the lifetime average of a ball a billion years old.

At a millimetre a year, about 7,600 tonnes of iron turn solid every second, giving off 4.5 to 9 terawatts (TW, million million watts) of heat, as water does when it freezes (this page's arithmetic). The heat helps stir the liquid outer core, whose churning makes the Earth's magnetic field, though not on its own. 🧲

about7,600tonnes a second

of liquid iron turning solid, at a millimetre a year (this page's arithmetic)

A millimetre a year is about 9 cm since Lehmann found the ball in 1936.

It need not grow evenly, and the millimetre a year is an average, never measured directly.

Chapter 6 the very centre

How old is it?

In 2001 Stéphane Labrosse and two colleagues balanced the core's energy budget and found the inner core probably about a billion years old, give or take half a billion.

The weak point is how well iron carries heat down there. If well, the core must cool fast to keep the magnetic field going, so the inner core is young: one 2016 measurement says under 0.7 billion years. If poorly, as another found, it could be as old as the magnetic field itself, which is at least 3.4 billion years old. That is an upper limit on the inner core's age, not a date. A 2025 review calls it open.

Old rocks' magnetism is read both ways too, dating its birth to 1 to 1.5 billion years ago, or to about 550 million.

And nobody knows how the first crystal formed. A liquid usually has to be cooled below its melting point before a seed crystal survives, and pure iron would need far more cooling than the core probably had: the nucleation paradox. Carbon, extra nickel or an unusual first form of iron could shrink the gap; none has closed it.

Pick an age, or a published one (some are upper limits)

At a billion years old it grows about 0.61 mm a year today, half its average of 1.22 (this page's arithmetic).

Part two · Listening in

Chapter 7 the inner core · listening

A stethoscope made of earthquakes

One earthquake sends several waves to the far side of the Earth: one through the inner core, one bouncing off its surface, others curving through the liquid above it. They start together and cross almost the same rock, so comparing them leaves just what happened deep inside.

The favourite road runs from the South Sandwich Islands, in the far South Atlantic, to Alaska: about 20 minutes for the wave through the inner core. At Eielson the waves have gone deep into it; at Yellowknife, in Canada, they've only grazed its top.

  1. Wait for a repeatNo two earthquakes are quite alike, so seismologists wait for one to repeat: the same patch of fault (a crack deep in the rock that slips in an earthquake) breaking again years later.
  2. Compare the wavesIf the waves that stay out of the inner core still match, and the one through it has changed, something inside has changed.
  3. Measure the changeA 2005 study of 18 such pairs confirmed it, and the changes are tiny: about a hundredth of a second a year.

In 2024 another team asked 121 earthquakes a sharper question: does a later inner-core wave ever match an earlier one? If it does, the inner core is back where it was, relative to the mantle.

It's a stethoscope, except that nobody chooses when the next beat comes.

Slide the later quake until its inner-core wave lines up

In the first pair no single slide lines up everything: the fingerprint of a change inside. The matching pairs show the 2024 kind of result: years apart, the inner-core wave matched again, as closely as the noise allows, so the inner core was back where it had been.

Chapter 8 the inner core · two runners

Two runners on one track

A 1995 computer model of the churning liquid core predicted the out-of-step turning. In July 1996 Song and Richards reported it: on the same road the gap between two of the waves had changed, by about 0.3 seconds over about 30 years as Richards later summed it up. They read it as the inner core turning "on the order of 1° per year" faster than the mantle.

Then the estimates came down: near zero from the ringing of the whole Earth; 0.07 to 0.15° a year from two nuclear tests in the early 1970s; 0.3 to 0.5° a year from repeating earthquakes in 2005. By 2024, in one team's summary: 0.05 to 0.15° a year, about a tenth of the 1996 figure.

None of these is the spin itself: both turn once a day, and only the tiny difference is in question. Still, at 0.1° a year a point on the inner core's equator slides about 2.1 km a year relative to the mantle, two million times faster than the ball grows (this page's arithmetic).

Picture two runners lapping a track once a day, one edging a fraction of a stride ahead, then dropping back. Neither one stops. The one behind isn't running backwards.

Two runners, from above

the mantlethe inner coreboth lap once a day

The inner core edges a fraction of a stride ahead (magnified here). Both keep running forward.

Chapter 9 the inner core · its clock

A pause, and an argument about clocks

In January 2023 Yi Yang and Xiaodong Song reported that the inner core's lead on the mantle had stopped growing around 2009 to 2010. They read it as part of a slow swing of about 70 years, matching slow changes in the length of the day and the magnetic field: one group's model, not a discovered cycle.

Others read the clock differently:

  • 20 to 30 years. Hrvoje Tkalčić (2024) got this by adding back a few of the pairs the 2023 study left out, and says more data are needed. He disputes the period, not that the turning varies.
  • Six years. From waves of nuclear tests in 1969 to 1974, Wei Wang and John Vidale proposed a quick rocking; in 2024, with colleagues, they wrote that their earthquake data "do not detect" it as the main motion.
  • A burst. Guanning Pang and Keith Koper found most of the change came in 2001 to 2003, with the inner core nearly locked to the mantle before and after.
  • The slow swing. A January 2026 study from Song's group: faster than the mantle from the early 1980s, turning at about the mantle's speed around 2000, perhaps slower after about 2010.

The readings agree that the turning varies. On the clock they agree on nothing. Nobody has proved a cycle.

Chapter 10 the inner core · backtracking

Back the way it came

In June 2024 Wei Wang, John Vidale and colleagues reported which earlier earthquake each later one matched.

Relative to the mantle, the inner core moved forward from 2003 to 2008, then went back through the same positions two to three times more slowly (about 2.5, turning in about mid-2008): later waves repeated earlier ones in reverse order. Matching gives the turn and that ratio, but not how fast the ball moved; that it went forward first, not back, comes from earlier studies too.

Nor is it a regular swing. One as even as a pendulum's, turning in 2010, would bring the 2003 position back in 2017. A 2025 paper reports it back in 2023; by this page's arithmetic, such matches are good to a year or two.

The authors call it "the most definitive evidence so far" that the inner core moves relative to the rest of the Earth. It says nothing about a reversed spin: the ball turned once a day throughout.

Only its lead became a lag.

Six readings side by side, with a dial that keeps both turning: switch and press Play

The four readings published since 2022 all swing between ahead and behind, and agree on little else; the steady rates of 1996 and 2005 never turn.

Chapter 11 the inner core's surface

Turning, or changing shape?

Or perhaps the surface changes instead. In 2006 Lianxing Wen found that in two earthquakes ten years apart, the wave that bounces off the inner core came back a few hundredths of a second earlier. He worked out that the surface there had risen by 1 to 1.75 km, and saw two possible causes: the ball growing that fast there, or a bumpy ball turning a bump into place.

Wen's group argues that a changing surface alone explains the changes. Song's group argues the opposite: the changes come mostly from the wave that crosses the inner core, so the surface can't be the only source.

In February 2025 Vidale and colleagues found changes at Yellowknife, where the waves graze the inner core, but not at Eielson, where they go deep. Turning would change both. Their conclusion: "tentatively both": turning, and a surface that most likely flows slowly, as in the stethoscope's last pair.

Everyone agrees the waves change. How much is turning and how much is surface is still argued: in September 2026 Wen and a colleague explained new changes with no turning at all.

Part three · Back up to your day

Chapter 12 where core meets mantle

The length of your day

If the inner core makes any difference up here, it's through the length of the day.

The Earth's turning isn't quite steady. By this page's arithmetic from the international record of its spin, the average day was about 3.1 thousandths of a second (3.1 ms) longer than 86,400 atomic-clock seconds in 1972 and slightly shorter from 2020 to 2025: a fall of 3.37 ms from 1972 to 2022.

Nº 16 shows how a ring laser, a light-beam detector of spin, feels the day change. The same record lies behind the decision to end leap seconds, the extra seconds added to clocks to keep them in step with the Earth, from 2027 (Nº 9).

The day's very slow lengthening comes from the tides, not the core; the swings over decades come mainly from the core and the mantle swapping spin. A smaller six-year wobble, about 0.13 ms, could be a pull between the mantle and a lopsided inner core, or twisting waves in the liquid core. A 2025 calculation favours the waves; nobody has settled it.

If the inner core simply handed its own spin to the mantle, at 0.2° a year, the fastest rate in this page's sketch of the 2023 reading, the day would move by only about 0.11 ms: 0.22 ms from top to bottom of the swing, against a real fall about 16 times bigger (this page's estimate).

Two changes to the day, one scale

The real fall, 1972 to 20223.37 ms
The inner core handing over only its own spin, top to bottom of this page's sketch of the 2023 reading (this page's estimate)0.22 ms

Move to the year you were born, then switch views

On its own spin, the inner core is a footnote to your day. But it need not act alone.

Chapter 13 the mantle

A lever made of iron

In September 2026 Huifeng Zhang and Mathieu Dumberry asked what drives the day's slow swings, those longer than 30 years, using Yang and Song's history of the turning and flows in the liquid core read from the magnetic field. Their results "suggest" it's mostly the inner core's gravity.

The idea is Bruce Buffett's, from 1996.

  1. A magnetic nudgeThe liquid core's magnetic pull turns the inner core a little.
  2. Bumps, already out of lineIts surface has bumps, 11 to 29 metres high in the 2026 study's model. They already sit a little over a degree out of line with the mantle's heavier and lighter regions, a steady pull that doesn't change the day.
  3. A degree furtherTurned about a degree further, they pull on the mantle and hand spin on to it over decades.

Its own spin couldn't do that: to change the day by 3 ms, the inner core would have to change its turning by about 5.6° a year, far beyond the 0.05 to 0.15° a year of a 2024 summary. With a lever, the spin comes from the liquid outer core, which need change by only a few hundredths of a degree a year (this page's estimates).

It's one study, and the caveats are the paper's own: it is built on Yang and Song's history, so it backs that history only if its model is right, and the pull is inefficient for swings shorter than a few decades. A commentary put it more firmly; this page keeps the authors' "suggest".

So the inner core may move the day as a lever, not a flywheel (a heavy spinning wheel that stores spin): an idea from 1996, backed by one study a month old as of October 2026.

Chapter 14 up here, with you

Out of step, not stopped

Headline check

Three things you may have read. Right, or not quite?

  1. "The Earth's core has stopped spinning."

    What this page says

    Not quite: the inner core turns once a day; in the 2023 and 2024 readings, only a tiny lead became a tiny lag.

  2. "The inner core grows by about a millimetre a year."

    What this page says

    Right, as a rough size: worked out from how fast the core cools, never measured.

  3. "The core is what's slowing the Earth."

    What this page says

    Not quite: the day's long lengthening comes from the tides; over decades the core nudges the day both ways.

The inner core turns once a day, like the mantle and like you. In the 2023 and 2024 readings, only a tiny lead, a fraction of a degree a year, became a tiny lag, around 2008 to 2010. Relative to what? The mantle. Nº 16 ends with the Paris pendulum on the same question.

So the inner core hasn't stopped turning, and it isn't turning backwards: a runner a stride behind isn't running the wrong way. It isn't what's slowing the Earth: the day's long lengthening comes from the tides, while over decades the core nudges the day both ways by a few thousandths of a second. And nobody has proved a 70-year cycle.

Still argued, as of 25 October 2026: how much is turning and how much surface, the clock, the year of the turn, the ball's age and the lever.

The headline number is the least argued thing in this story, and the least measured. The turning is the opposite: measured, with difficulty, and argued in public.

Let's add it all up. 🏷️

Specimen Nº 27The inner core

Found 1936, by Inge Lehmann · Seen: never

Radiusreference Earth model
1,220 km
Its surface, below your feetreference Earth model
5,150 km
Temperature at its surfacepublished estimates
5,000–6,000 K
The Sun's surfaceastronomers' standard value
5,772 K
Growththe standard description
about 1 mm a year
Iron frozen each secondthis page's arithmetic, at 1 mm a year
about 7,600 tonnes
Agemost estimates
0.5–1.5 billion years
Out of step with the mantle2024 summary of the estimates
0.05–0.15° a year
Lead turned to lag2023 and 2024 studies
around 2008–2010
The day's six-year wobble2013 study
about 0.13 ms

Has it stopped turning?once a day, like youNo

freezing ✦ out of step ✦ still argued

Five thousand kilometres down, under an ocean of liquid iron, a hidden ball of iron crystals, about as hot as the Sun's surface, sits in the dark.

Far away in the South Atlantic, a fault slips, and the ground shakes.

One of its waves crosses the hidden ball and reaches Alaska twenty minutes later.

Years on, the same fault slips again, and the same wave arrives a fraction of a second different.

Still freezing, a millimetre a year, and still turning, once a day, almost in step with you.

A millimetre a year, once a day, and, in most readings, a fraction of a degree a year out of step.

Nº 27 · ∫ Full version

One millimetre a year

About 5,150 km below our feet, inside the Earth's liquid iron core, is the inner core: a solid ball of iron crystals 1,220 km in radius, roughly as hot as the surface of the Sun, that grows by about a millimetre a year as the liquid around it freezes onto it. Nobody has measured that rate: it is worked out from how fast the core cools, and it depends on the inner core's age. The inner core may be only half a billion to a billion and a half years old. Earthquakes that repeat years apart suggest, in most readings, that it does not turn exactly in step with the rest of the planet. It ran slightly ahead of the mantle for decades and began to drift slightly behind around 2008 to 2010, in the readings of Yi Yang and Xiaodong Song (2023) and of Wei Wang, John Vidale and colleagues (2024); its surface may be changing shape too. Throughout, it turns once a day like the rest of the Earth: only a lead of a fraction of a degree a year became a lag. How fast it moves, on what cycle, and how much of the change is rotation rather than reshaping are all still argued.

Part I explains what the inner core is, why it is solid, what "crystal" means here, where the millimetre a year comes from, and why its age is disputed. Part II, the stethoscope of repeating earthquakes, follows the rotation from about a degree a year in 1996 to a tenth of that, the rival cycles, the 2024 finding that the inner core went back the way it came, and the case that its surface changes too. Part III asks what this does to the length of the day, including the idea, proposed in 1996 and backed by a September 2026 study, that the inner core works as a gravitational lever.

This is the ∫ Full version, with the equations, caveats and sources. New to the idea? Start with the ✨ Simple version.

Numbers marked "this page's arithmetic" or "this page's estimate" were computed for this page from the cited inputs; they are not published results. Rotation is always relative to the mantle. Gyr is a billion years (Ga in quotations); Ma, a million years ago.

Papers, preprints and the state of the debate are as of 25 October 2026.

Part IA ball of iron crystals

Chapter 1One millimetre a year

Under the crust lies the rocky mantle. At 3,480 km from the centre it gives way to the outer core, a shell of liquid iron alloy, and inside that, from about 1,220 km in radius down to the centre, is the solid inner core.1 Its surface is about 5,150 km below our feet.

The headline, about a millimetre a year, is how fast the inner core grows as the liquid freezes onto it. It is the field's standard description: Lauren Waszek, Jessica Irving and Arwen Deuss wrote in 2011 that the inner core grows "at rates of about 1 mm per year", citing J. A. Jacobs's 1953 paper rather than deriving the figure.2,3 It is an order of magnitude from cooling models, not a measurement (Chapters 5 and 6).

"Crystal" in the title means crystalline. The inner core is a ball of iron crystals, lined up well enough that earthquake waves cross it faster along the Earth's axis than across it. A 1995 model by Lars Stixrude and Ronald Cohen treated it as "a nearly perfectly aligned aggregate" of crystals, close to one giant crystal;4 later work describes many aligned grains, in layers that differ (Chapter 4).

The rest of the story is rotation. The inner core is a solid body inside a liquid, held to the mantle by gravity and to the liquid by magnetic forces, but not rigidly, so it can turn fractionally faster or slower than the mantle. Every statement on this page about its rotation is relative to the mantle: "super-rotation" means faster, so that it creeps eastward, and "sub-rotation" slower. Both bodies turn once a day. Most readings of earthquake waves agree that the inner core ran slightly ahead for decades; two of them, by Yang and Song and by Wang, Vidale and colleagues, put the turn around 2008 to 2010, after which it drifted slightly behind.5,6

Inge Lehmann found the inner core in 1936, and Song and Paul Richards first reported in 1996 that it turns at a slightly different rate from the mantle. Three later lines of work recur here: Vidale and colleagues (2025) on a changing surface, Hrvoje Tkalčić (2024) on how regular the swing is, and Huifeng Zhang and Mathieu Dumberry (2026) on the inner core's pull on the length of the day.

Chapter 2A core inside the core

In 1936 Inge Lehmann, a Danish seismologist, published a paper titled "P′". The liquid core bends earthquake waves so strongly that it leaves a shadow on the far side of the Earth, and faint P waves, the compressional waves of earthquakes, were arriving inside that shadow. Lehmann worked out that the core must contain a separate inner part that sends some of the waves back into the shadow.7

That the inner part is solid took longer to show. In 1971 Adam Dziewonski and Freeman Gilbert found that the Earth's normal modes, the whole planet ringing like a bell after a great earthquake, require an inner core with rigidity,8 and in 2000 Arwen Deuss and colleagues reported shear waves that had crossed it.9 Shear waves cannot travel through a liquid.

The standard numbers come from the Preliminary Reference Earth Model (PREM) of Dziewonski and Don Anderson, published in 1981.1 It puts the inner-core boundary 1,221.5 km from the centre and the top of the liquid core at 3,480 km. With the Earth's mean radius of 6,371 km, the inner core's surface is 5,149.5 km down. This page rounds to 1,220 km in radius, about 2,440 km across, and 5,150 km down.

PREMJust inside the inner-core boundaryAt the centre
Depth below the surface5,149.5 km6,371 km
Density12.76 g/cm³13.09 g/cm³
Pressure328.85 GPa363.85 GPa
In sea-level atmospheres3.25 million3.59 million

Values from PREM; the atmospheres are this page's arithmetic, dividing by 101,325 Pa. The liquid just outside the boundary has a density of 12.17 g/cm³.

Inside, P waves travel at 11.0–11.3 km/s and shear waves at 3.5–3.7 km/s.1 Adding up PREM's density shell by shell gives the inner core's mass:

Mic = ∫0R 4πr2ρ(r) dr ≈ 9.84 × 1022 kgρ(r) from PREM, R = 1,221.5 km. The mean density is 12.89 g/cm³ (this page's arithmetic).

That is 1.34 times the mass of the Moon, 7.346 × 1022 kg, and 1.65% of the Earth's mass, in 0.70% of the Earth's volume (this page's arithmetic from PREM). The inner core's radius is 70% of the Moon's, 1,737.4 km,10 and slightly larger than Pluto's, 1,188.3 ± 1.6 km from New Horizons images.11

Nobody has seen it, and no image of it exists. What is known comes from seismic waves, gravity and the length of the day, read alongside laboratory experiments and calculations on iron and the magnetic record in old rocks.

Chapter 3About as hot as the Sun's surface, and solid

The inner core's surface is where the liquid core is freezing, so its temperature is the freezing point of the core's alloy at about 329 gigapascals. In 2013 Simone Anzellini and colleagues melted a speck of iron squeezed between two diamond tips and heated by laser (a diamond-anvil cell), watching it by fast X-ray diffraction, and extrapolated from 200 gigapascals to a melting point for pure iron of 6,230 ± 500 K at that pressure.12 Lighter elements lower the freezing point by several hundred to more than a thousand kelvin, and the table of core properties compiled by Deguen and colleagues puts the temperature at the inner core's surface at roughly 5,000 to 6,000 K.13 A 2025 simulation finds about 5,000 K for a core with 10 mol% carbon (one atom in ten), against 5,300–5,900 K in earlier work on iron–oxygen alloys.14 The exact value is uncertain by several hundred kelvin.

The International Astronomical Union's nominal temperature for the Sun's visible surface is 5,772 K.15 So the inner core is about as hot as the surface of the Sun, and far cooler than the Sun's interior.

What keeps it solid is pressure, which raises iron's melting point. J. A. Jacobs proposed in 1953 that the inner core is iron frozen out of the liquid core, growing as the Earth cools.3 In the core the melting point rises with depth faster than the temperature does, so as the core cooled, the first place to fall below its melting point was the centre:

T(r) < Tm(r)  ⇒  solid at radius rT: the temperature of the convecting core; Tm: the alloy's melting point at the local pressure. Both fall outwards from the centre, the melting point faster, so as the core cools they first cross at r = 0, and the crossing, the inner-core boundary, then moves outwards.

The ball is mostly iron, with some nickel (about 5% by weight for the core as a whole, in the usual estimate),14 and a few per cent of lighter elements, since it is slightly less dense than pure iron would be.16 Which light elements, and how much of each, is not settled. Its iron is thought to be hexagonal close-packed (hcp), with a body-centred cubic (bcc) phase proposed for parts of it.16,17 Simulations by He and colleagues (2022) suggest that hydrogen, oxygen or carbon in it could be superionic, diffusing almost like a liquid through the iron lattice.18 That is an interpretation, and the inner core is not liquid.

Ice on a pond is a fair picture, up to a point. A pond freezes from the top down; the core freezes from the centre out, because the Earth's cooling makes it freeze and pressure decides that the centre goes first. And this ice is at about 5,500 K.

Chapter 4What "crystal" means here

In 1983 Georges Poupinet and colleagues found that P waves crossing the inner core close to the Earth's axis arrive earlier than waves crossing it near the plane of the equator.19 In 1986 Andrea Morelli, Adam Dziewonski and John Woodhouse explained the difference by anisotropy:20 the inner core is faster pole to pole, by about 1% on average in their study.

Later work found anisotropy of up to a few per cent, stronger in the western hemisphere than the eastern, and an upper layer, roughly the top 60–80 km, with little or none. Arwen Deuss's 2014 review describes an isotropic skin, with the same speed in every direction, over an aligned interior; the skin's thickness is an interpretation.21

A single crystal of hcp iron is itself anisotropic, but crystals pointing every which way average that out. For the whole ball to prefer one direction, its crystals must on average be lined up. In 1995 Stixrude and Cohen calculated the elasticity of hcp iron at inner-core pressure from first principles and matched the travel times by treating the inner core as "a nearly perfectly aligned aggregate of hcp crystals".4 That model, close to one giant crystal, is the origin of the single-crystal inner core of many headlines, and it is history now. The standard explanation is the alignment of many crystals, varying with depth and between hemispheres.17,21

There may be a layer within. In 2002 Miaki Ishii and Adam Dziewonski found the anisotropy changing character within about 300 km of the centre, an "innermost inner core".22 In 2023 Thanh-Son Phạm and Hrvoje Tkalčić, with waves that cross the Earth's centre several times, described "a ~650-km thick innermost ball" (their figures draw it with a radius of about 650 km), in which P waves are about 4% slower at about 50° from the axis.23 The 2025 review by Wilson and colleagues gives 250–700 km for its radius.17 The bulk anisotropy is established; the innermost inner core, and its size, are interpretations.

It is tempting to read such layers as tree rings, each recording the time it froze. But no rings have been seen: the "layers" are changes in crystal alignment, inferred from the speeds of waves.

Chapter 5Freezing from the centre out

As the core cools, liquid alloy freezes onto the inner core. The classical model of that growth, by Bruce Buffett, Herbert Huppert, John Lister and Andrew Woods in 1992, has the radius growing roughly as the square root of time:13,24

r(t) = R √(t/τ),   V0 = R/2τ = ½ × R/τR = 1,221.5 km is today's radius, τ the inner core's age and t the time since it began to freeze. Growth is fastest when the ball is small; at t = 0 the law gives no finite speed. Today's rate V0 is half the lifetime mean R/τ.

So the age sets today's rate. Renaud Deguen, Thierry Alboussière and Daniel Brito, using the same law, give about 2 × 10−11 m/s, 0.6 mm a year, for an inner core about a billion years old, and 0.19–0.63 mm a year across their parameters.13

Age τLifetime meanTodayIron frozen per second todayLatent heat today
0.5 Gyr2.44 mm/yr1.22 mm/yr9,300 t5.6–11 TW
0.55 Gyr2.22 mm/yr1.11 mm/yr8,400 t5.1–10 TW
0.7 Gyr1.75 mm/yr0.87 mm/yr6,600 t4.0–7.9 TW
1.0 Gyr1.22 mm/yr0.61 mm/yr4,600 t2.8–5.6 TW
1.5 Gyr0.81 mm/yr0.41 mm/yr3,100 t1.9–3.7 TW
2.0 Gyr0.61 mm/yr0.31 mm/yr2,300 t1.4–2.8 TW
3.4 Gyr0.36 mm/yr0.18 mm/yr1,400 t0.82–1.6 TW

This page's arithmetic from the square-root law and the formulas below, with a latent heat of 600–1,200 kJ/kg. Latent heat only.

So "about a millimetre a year" is the right size for today's growth: for the most-cited ages, half a billion to a billion and a half years, today's rate is 0.4–1.2 mm a year, and for 2 billion years or more, a few tenths. It is also roughly the lifetime average of an inner core about a billion years old (1.22 mm a year at 1.0 billion years, 1.0 at 1.2 billion), whose rate today is half that. Today's rate also fixes how much iron freezes each second, and how much heat that releases:

ṁ = 4πR2 ρ V0,   QL = ṁ Lṁ: the mass frozen per second; QL: the latent heat it releases; L: latent heat per kilogram. Area 4πR2 = 1.875 × 1013 m²; ρ = 12,763.6 kg/m³ just inside the boundary (PREM); a year of 31,557,600 s. At 1 mm a year, ṁ ≈ 7,600 tonnes a second, and with L = 600–1,200 kJ/kg, QL ≈ 4.5–9.1 TW (this page's arithmetic).

At a millimetre a year, about 7,600 tonnes of iron turn solid every second. The 2001 core model of Labrosse and colleagues (Chapter 6) gives a latent heat of 620 kJ/kg, its entropy of crystallisation, 118 J kg⁻¹ K⁻¹, times its solidification temperature at the centre, 5,270 K,25 inside the published range of 600–1,200 kJ/kg, which is uncertain by a factor of two.13 That makes a few terawatts: 4.5–9 TW per millimetre a year, and about 1–11 TW across the ages in the table and the range of latent heat (this page's arithmetic, latent heat only). The heat helps power the convection that makes the Earth's magnetic field, though not alone: freezing also expels light elements into the liquid, and that lighter liquid rises and stirs it too.26 A natural nuclear reactor at the centre of the Earth, another proposed source of heat, has been looked for and not found (Nº 13); its heat would be a different quantity, and this page does not compare the two.

A millimetre a year is about 8 cm in a lifetime of 80 years and about 9 cm since Lehmann found the inner core in 1936 (this page's arithmetic). The growth need not be even. Marc Monnereau and colleagues proposed in 2010 a "lopsided growth", one hemisphere freezing while the other melts,27 and local changes in the surface of about a kilometre in a decade have been inferred (Chapter 11).28 Those are interpretations about places; the millimetre a year is a global mean, never measured directly.

Chapter 6How old is the inner core?

In 2001 Stéphane Labrosse, Jean-Paul Poirier and Jean-Louis Le Mouël balanced the core's energy budget: the heat the core must lose to grow the inner core, against what the mantle can carry away. Without radioactive heating in the core, they found, the inner core cannot be older than 2.5 billion years, and "a more acceptable value would be around 1 ± 0.5 Ga".25

The weak point is thermal conductivity. Heat conducted along the core's temperature gradient does nothing to stir the liquid, so a core that conducts well must cool faster to keep the magnetic field going, and has a younger inner core. On the high side, Monica Pozzo and colleagues calculated in 2012 that liquid iron at core conditions conducts two to three times better than earlier estimates, implying 15–16 TW conducted at the top of the core.26 In 2016 Kenji Ohta and colleagues measured iron's electrical resistivity at core conditions (the electrons that carry current also carry heat) and concluded that it implies "a young inner core less than 0.7 billion years old".29 Labrosse's 2015 model gives a similar bound if the core loses more heat at its top than conduction alone can carry,30 and in 2020 Zhang and colleagues found a conductivity of about 100 ± 10 W m⁻¹ K⁻¹ (watts per metre per kelvin) near the core–mantle boundary.31

On the low side, Zuzana Konôpková and colleagues measured the thermal conductivity of solid iron directly in 2016 and placed that of the Earth's core at 18–44 W m⁻¹ K⁻¹, a value that "allows for a solid inner core as old as the dynamo", an upper limit on the age rather than a date.32 In 2020 Hsieh and colleagues found about 20 W m⁻¹ K⁻¹ for an outer core in which 15% of the atoms are silicon, with an inner core that "could be older than two billion-years".33 The dynamo, the churning liquid outer core that makes the magnetic field, is at least 3.4 billion years old: its strength is recorded in rocks 3.4–3.45 billion years old.34 The 2025 review by Wilson and colleagues treats the question as open.17

Palaeomagnetism, the field's record in magnetised rocks, is read both ways. Andrew Biggin and colleagues read an increase in the field's strength and variability 1.0–1.5 billion years ago as the inner core's birth (2015).35 Richard Bono and colleagues found an ultra-low field about 565 million years ago, pointing to a later start (2019).36 Zhou and colleagues found the field five times stronger by about 532 million years ago and placed the inner core's birth at about 550 million years ago, with the inner core at half its present radius, "where seismic anisotropy changes", by about 450 million years ago (2022).37 Ohta and colleagues say the increase about 1.3 billion years ago "may not be related" to the inner core's birth.29

Nobody knows how the first crystal formed. A liquid must be cooled some way below its melting point, supercooled, before a seed crystal can survive. For pure iron at the centre of the Earth, Ludovic Huguet and colleagues put the need at about 1,000 K (2018).38 The 2025 review puts it at no less than 450 K, against at most 420 K available and more probably under 100 K.17 Marine Lasbleis and colleagues reach the 100 K limit separately, from the melt trapped in the inner core: the supercooling "cannot have exceeded 100 K".39 That gap is the nucleation paradox.

The proposed ways out lower the need. In one, a seed first forms as metastable bcc iron, a structure that is not the stable one at those pressures but forms more easily, and then turns into hcp (Yang Sun and colleagues, 2022).40 With carbon, 10 mol% brings the need down to the 420 K maximum "within uncertainty", and an extrapolation to 15.2 mol% (roughly 4% by weight, the most that may have entered the core) gives "only 266 K" (Wilson and colleagues, 2025; an author correction does not change the result).14 An alloy with 20% nickel, about four times the 5% usually assumed, needs about 250 K, in a study by Zhai and colleagues (Geophysical Research Letters, October 2026).41 The carbon and nickel figures are still well above the probable 100 K. They shrink the problem; none has settled it.

If the core did supercool, its first few hundred kilometres may have frozen quickly. The 2025 review says that region is "at least as large as the innermost inner core (250–700 km radius)",17 and gives no consistent speed for it, so this page gives none. Figure 1's "Fast start" is this page's sketch, not a published model: a first region 250 or 700 km in radius, the two ends of that range, frozen at an unknown speed, then the same law,

r2 = r02 + (R2 − r02) t/τ,   V0 = (R2 − r02)/(2Rτ)Today's rate is then (1 − r02/R2)/2 of the lifetime mean, whatever the age: 0.479 for r0 = 250 km and 0.336 for 700 km, against a half classically; at τ = 1 billion years, 0.59 and 0.41 mm a year (this page's sketch and arithmetic).

Figure 1 turns an age into today's growth, iron and heat. Pick a published age or set your own, then press Grow it to watch the ball freeze.

Figure 1🎲 Try it

The growing crystal

Set its age

Today's rate, R/2τGrowing today
Lifetime mean, R/τAverage since it began
Radius thenSize then (centre to edge)
Iron frozen per second, todayIron frozen each second now
Latent heat today, L = 600–1,200 kJ/kgHeat given off now
Growth in your 30 years, at today's rateGrown in your lifetime

The classical growth law r = R√(t/τ) (Buffett et al. 1992) with R = 1,221.5 km (PREM) and the age τ from the slider. The law gives no finite speed at the very start, so the look-back stops 10 million years after it. Iron and heat use Chapter 5's formulas, with L = 600–1,200 kJ/kg (Deguen et al. 2007), latent heat only. Presets are published ages, some of them bounds: Zhou et al. 2022; Bono et al. 2019; Ohta et al. 2016; Labrosse et al. 2001; Biggin et al. 2015; and the oldest age the low-conductivity measurement of Konôpková et al. 2016 allows, as old as the magnetic field (at least 3.4 Gyr, Tarduno et al. 2010): an upper limit on the inner core's age, not an estimate. 'Fast start' is this page's sketch of a supercooled beginning (the box above). This page's model and arithmetic.Slide the age, or pick a published age (some are upper limits). A younger inner core must be growing faster now; an old one grows only a few tenths of a millimetre a year. Press Grow it to watch it freeze: from nothing in the classical picture, fast when it was small and slower since, or, with Fast start (this page's sketch, not a published model), from a first ball that froze quickly at a speed nobody knows. Put in your age to see how much it has grown in your lifetime.

Every published age is a claim about today's growth and heat. The Earth itself is 4.54 billion years old (Nº 13); every estimate here puts the inner core's birth well after the planet's.

Part IIA stethoscope at 5,000 kilometres

Chapter 7Earthquakes that repeat

Several waves from one earthquake reach the far side of the Earth by different roads through the core. PKIKP, also written PKP(DF), crosses the mantle (P), the outer core (K) and the inner core (I); PKiKP reflects off the inner core's surface; PKP(BC) and PKP(AB) turn in the outer core above it and never enter it.42,43 They share almost the same source and mantle path, so comparing PKIKP with a wave that does not cross the inner core leaves what happened inside. What is measured is the gap between the two arrivals, and how that gap changes from one earthquake to the next:

δt = tPKP(BC) − tPKP(DF),   Δ(δt) = δtlater − δtearlierIts change between two earthquakes on the same path is the signal Song and Richards measured in 1996 (Chapter 8).

The workhorse path runs from the South Sandwich Islands, in the South Atlantic, to Alaska. Rays reaching the Eielson array (ILAR), about 150° away (distance measured as the angle at the Earth's centre; the far side is 180°), go deep into the inner core; rays reaching Yellowknife (YKA) in Canada, 135–137° away, graze its top.6,43 PKIKP takes about 20 minutes to reach the far side of the Earth, on the standard ak135 travel-time tables.44

No two earthquakes are alike, so seismologists wait for one to repeat: the same patch of fault breaking years later and sending out nearly identical waves, a doublet. If the waves that do not cross the inner core match and the one that crossed it has changed, the change happened inside. In 2005 Jian Zhang and colleagues used 18 doublets up to 35 years apart, recorded at up to 58 stations in and near Alaska, and confirmed that the inner-core waves change with time.45 The changes are tiny: "a change of about 0.01 s per year", as Vidale and colleagues put it in 2000, reaching tenths of a second over decades.43,46

In 2024 Wang, Vidale and colleagues used 121 earthquakes in 42 locations, 1991–2023, forming 143 pairs. Of the earthquakes, 109 came from published lists of repeaters, chosen by a cross-correlation (a match score, defined below) of 0.90 or 0.95 or more on the arrivals, or phases, that do not cross the inner core; the 12 added from 2021 to January 2023 passed a median above 0.95 at both arrays over 15 seconds.6 A 2025 paper extended the set to 168 pairs, 1991–2024.43 The 2024 study then asked whether a later earthquake's PKIKP matches an earlier one's. If it does, the inner core is back where it was at the earlier date, relative to the mantle. The match is scored by the cross-correlation of the two seismograms:

CC(s) = Σ E(t) L(t − s) / √[Σ E2 · Σ L2]E, L: the earlier and later seismograms in a window; s: a trial shift. CC = 1 is a perfect match. The repeater test applies only to the windows that do not cross the inner core.

A doctor with a stethoscope listens for a change in a sound that repeats. Here the repeating sound is an earthquake on the same patch of fault, and the change is in the wave that crossed the inner core. The picture breaks in one place: nobody chooses when the next beat comes. Seismologists wait, sometimes decades, for a fault to break again. Figure 2 makes the comparison with seismograms drawn by this page: slide the later quake until its inner-core wave lines up, and watch the other window.

Figure 2🎲 Try it

The stethoscope

Slide the later quake

Repeater test: outer-core window, CC at 0 ms (0.90–0.95 or more in the 2024 study)Same patch of fault? Waves that don't go through the inner core (1 = a perfect match)
Inner-core window: CC at your shiftInner-core wave: how well they match (1 = a perfect match)
Inner-core window: size, later ÷ earlierInner-core wave: size now (1 = the same)
Your shiftYou moved it
What changed: best-fit shiftHow far it moved

Synthetic seismograms, illustrative only: Ricker wavelets (a standard test pulse) at 1.5 Hz with weak noise, built to mimic the published pairs, not copies (the real traces are in Wang et al. 2024 and Vidale et al. 2025). Each pair is two earthquakes on the same patch of fault near the South Sandwich Islands, recorded at Eielson, Alaska (rays deep in the inner core) or Yellowknife, Canada (rays grazing its top). The later trace is aligned on the phases that do not cross the inner core (PKiKP and PKP), and their correlation is Chapter 7's repeater test, over shorter windows than the 2024 study's 15 seconds. The inner-core window is compared at your shift; the best fit maximises its correlation within ±300 ms. Shift sizes follow the published scale, about 0.01 s a year and tenths of a second over decades (Vidale et al. 2000; 2025). Pairs: a large change between the 1990s and after 2010; matches 2003–2023 and 2006–2013, read as the inner core back in the same position relative to the mantle; and 2004–2017, a change at Yellowknife but not Eielson that rotation cannot explain (Vidale et al. 2025). This page's model.Two earthquakes, years apart, from the same patch of fault. The waves that don't go through the inner core look nearly identical, so it really is a repeat. Slide the later quake until its inner-core wave lines up with the earlier one: the shift you need is the change inside the Earth. Try the matching pairs too: when the waves match again, the inner core is back where it was. These wiggles are drawn by this page, not real recordings.

In the first pair no single shift lines up both windows: the fingerprint of a change inside. The two matching pairs show the 2024 kind of result: years apart, no change beyond the noise. The last pair belongs to Chapter 11.

Chapter 8A degree a year, then a tenth of that

The differential rotation was predicted before it was seen. In 1995 Gary Glatzmaier and Paul Roberts's computer model of the geodynamo had the inner core super-rotating, dragged eastward relative to the mantle by an eastward flow in the outer core that pulls on it through the magnetic field, a mechanism their December 1996 paper calls "analogous to a synchronous motor".47 In July 1996 Song and Richards reported that on the South Sandwich Islands–Alaska path the separation of PKP(BC) and PKP(DF) had changed by about 0.3 s over about 30 years (the figures are Richards's later summary). They read this as rotation "on the order of 1° per year faster than the daily rotation of the mantle and crust".42 Su, Dziewonski and Jeanloz found about 3° a year the same year.48

Then the estimates came down. Free oscillations (the normal modes of Chapter 2), which average over the whole inner core, gave near zero.49 Waves scattered inside the inner core from two Soviet nuclear tests at Novaya Zemlya, in 1971 and 1974, gave about 0.15° a year in 2000;46 Vidale's 2019 re-analysis, "halving our rotation rate estimate", gave 0.07° a year,50 and Wang and Vidale's of 2022 gave 0.10° a year about the Earth's axis, 0.29° in all over 1971–1974.51 Doublets gave more: 0.3–0.5° a year in 2005,45 and in 2013 a "shuffling" mean of 0.25–0.48° a year over 1961–2007, with decadal swings of order 1° a year.52 By 2024 the estimates had narrowed, in Wang and colleagues' summary, to 0.05–0.15° a year.6 Each is that study's interpretation; none is a single "true" rate.

None of these numbers is the inner core's spin. The inner core and the mantle each turn once a day. Counted against the stars, that is 366.25 turns in a year of 365.25 days: the Earth's trip round the Sun uses up one turn a year, so there is one more turn than there are days (this page's arithmetic). Only the tiny difference between the inner core's turning and the mantle's is in question:

Δφ = ∫ Δω dt,   s = (2πR/360°) Δφ = 21.3 km per degreeΔω: the inner core's rotation rate minus the mantle's; Δφ: the angle gained on the mantle; s: the slide of a point on the inner core's equator. The daily spin itself carries that point round at ΩR ≈ 89 m/s (this page's arithmetic).

At 0.1° a year, a point on the inner core's equator slides about 2.1 km a year relative to the mantle, some two million times faster than the inner core grows. A full lap relative to the mantle would take about 3,600 years, or 2,400–7,200 years across 0.05–0.15° a year, if the rate held (this page's arithmetic). The record says it does not.

The long-term average may be tiny, or not. From frozen-in structure in the inner core that shifts eastward with depth, Waszek, Irving and Deuss inferred an "extremely slow steady inner core super-rotation of 0.1°–1° per million years".2 Zhang and Dumberry's 2026 analysis implies a steady 0.12° a year instead, close to three full turns relative to the mantle in 9,000 years.53 The two refereed answers, each one model's inference, are a factor of 105 to 106 apart.

Picture two runners lapping a track once a day, one edging a fraction of a stride ahead, then dropping back. Neither stops, and the one behind is not running backwards.

Chapter 9A pause, and an argument about clocks

In January 2023 Yi Yang and Xiaodong Song reported that paths whose inner-core waves had changed for decades had barely changed over the previous decade: the rotation relative to the mantle had paused, around 2009–2010 (the paper divides its doublets at 2009). They read the record since 1964 as part of an oscillation of about seven decades, with an earlier turning point in the early 1970s, matching multidecadal changes in the length of the day and in the magnetic field.5 It is one group's model, not a discovered cycle.

This page sketches it. Yang and Song's angle, as plotted by Zhang and Dumberry, runs from about −3.7° in 1972 to about +0.95° in 2010, about 4.7° from trough to peak.53 A sinusoid, the regular swing of a pendulum, turning at those dates is

Δω(t) = A sin[2π(t − 1972)/P],   Δφ(t) = φmid − (AP/2π) cos[2π(t − 1972)/P]This page's sketch, not Yang and Song's model. φmid: the angle midway between trough and peak. Turning points 38 years apart give P ≈ 76 years; half the swing, 2.35°, gives a peak rate A ≈ 0.19° a year (0.21° a year for P = 70).

"About 70 years" and 76 are the same claim at the precision the source gives. At A = 0.20° a year (Figure 3's default) the sketch's mean rate from 1991 to 2010 is 0.127° a year, the same as Yang and Song's twin-station measurement for 1991–2010, which is disputed (below).54 But the published curve falls only about 0.25–0.3° by 2019–2021, while a symmetric sinusoid falls about 0.6° by 2019 (this page's arithmetic): the motion is lopsided, as Chapter 10 shows another way.

Other readings disagree on the clock.

  • 20 to 30 years. Hrvoje Tkalčić found in 2024 that including "only a small number of discarded earthquake doublets (<10%)", ones the 2023 analysis left out, changes the period to 20–30 years: "more earthquake-doublet data are required".55 He disputes the period, not that the rotation varies.
  • Six years. Wang and Vidale, from nuclear explosions in 1969–1974, proposed an oscillation held by gravity, of "0.5° peak-to-peak" if the outer core does not move with the inner core.56 In 2024 the same authors, with colleagues, wrote that their repeating-earthquake data "do not detect" it as the inner core's main motion.6
  • 2001–2003. Guanning Pang and Keith Koper found the coda, the train of waves scattered inside the inner core that follows PKIKP, changing mostly in 2001–2003, with the inner core nearly locked to the mantle before and after; about 0.5° of rotation, as Wang and colleagues summarise it. The 2024 study finds slow motion continuing after 2003, though it does not strongly test this model.6,57
  • Twin stations. Yang and Song's 0.127 ± 0.006° a year eastward over 1991–2010, from two stations in Kyrgyzstan, is disputed by Dongdong Tian and Lianxing Wen, who argue that localised changes in the surface explain the data.54,58
  • The slow swing. In January 2026 Wu, Song and Yang, on two paths, found the inner core faster than the mantle from the early 1980s, near zero around 2000 and perhaps slower after about 2010, which they say fits the multidecadal model rather than shorter oscillations.59 That "near zero around 2000" differs from the 2023 pause around 2009–2010.

Satellite gravity limits the shorter swings. Lecomte, Rosat, Mandea and Dumberry found that, if the inner core's surface has 90 m of relief (bumps of that height), swings with periods of about 4, 6 and 12 years can be no larger than about 0.09°, 0.3° and 0.4°, values they call overestimates. But they add that viscous relaxation, the surface slowly flowing back into shape, "can permit larger amplitudes".60 The bound scales inversely with the relief; for the 11–29 m that Zhang and Dumberry infer, it becomes 0.9–2.5° at six years (this page's scaling).53

The readings agree that the rotation varies; on the clock they agree on nothing. Nobody has proved a cycle.

Chapter 10Back the way it came

On 12 June 2024 Wang, Vidale, Pang, Koper and Wang reported in Nature which earlier earthquake each later one matched, for 121 repeating earthquakes between 1991 and 2023. The matches say that the inner core moved forward relative to the mantle from 2003 to 2008, then from 2008 to 2023 went "two to three times more slowly back through the same path": later waves repeated earlier ones in reverse order.6 The paper's Methods section puts the turn at 2008.5 ± 0.18 and the return about 2.5 times slower. The method fixes the order of the positions, so it gives the reversal and the ratio of the speeds, not the rate; that the first leg was eastward comes, in the authors' words, "together with previous studies". This page writes the fit as:

Δφ = v(t − 2003) before tr, then falls at v/r;   t2 = tr + r(tr − t1)tr ≈ 2008.5, the turn; r ≈ 2.5, forward speed ÷ backward speed; v is not measured. A position held at t1 before the turn recurs at t2.

With 2008.5 and 2.5, the 2003 position recurs in about 2022.3 and the 2006 position in about 2014.8. The 2025 paper reports matches between 2003 and 2023 and between 2006 and 2013.43 Taken as exact, those two pairs would need a turn near 2007.6 and a ratio near 3.3 (this page's arithmetic), so the matches are good to a year or two. The 2024 authors add that 2005–2015 "is more difficult to resolve" and interpret the rotation there as slowing before the lead turns into a lag.6

The asymmetry is the point. The motion is "more complicated than a symmetric function such as a sinusoid", the authors write, and will need new models.6 A symmetric swing turning in 2010 brings the 2003 position back in 2017, not 2023. Its authors call it "the most definitive evidence so far" that the inner core moves relative to the rest of the Earth, and it says nothing about a reversed spin: the inner core turned once a day throughout. Figure 3 sets six readings side by side, with a dial that keeps both bodies turning: switch between them and press Play, and the last tile finds the year each position comes round again.

Figure 3🎲 Try it

Ahead, then behind

Switch the reading

Angle since 2003, relative to the mantleAhead (+) or behind (−) its 2003 spot
Rate relative to the mantleGaining (+) or losing (−) each year
Slid at its equator since 2003How far its equator slid
Own-spin effect on the day (this page's estimate)Change to the day (ms: thousandths of a second), from its own spin alone (this page's estimate)
Same position as inSame spot as in

Six readings of the inner core's rotation relative to the mantle, as angle (top) and rate (bottom), zero at each model's 2003 position. Song and Richards's 1996 steady rate is drawn only to 2000; Zhang et al.'s 2005 rate is steady. 'About 70 years' is this page's sketch of Yang and Song's 2023 model, Chapter 9's sinusoid (period 76 years, peak rate A). The 20–30-year swing uses Tkalčić's 2024 periods at the same peak rate; he gives no phase, so this page turns it at 2010, as the other readings do. The six-year oscillation is Wang and Vidale's 2022 model (0.5° peak to peak, less if part of the outer core moves with it; the 1971–74 tests give 0.29°, which the authors count as a match within uncertainties), which their 2024 data do not detect as the main motion. The backtracking line is Wang et al.'s 2024 fit (turn at 2008.5, return 2.5 times slower); its rate is not measured and is set here to 0.1° a year. Shaded years extrapolate the models; they are not published forecasts (the 1996 and 2005 rates are shaded after publication). Matches between years are approximate (± 1 year; ± 2 in the poorly resolved 2005–2015). Marks: Vidale 2019 and Wang and Vidale 2022 (1971–74); Yang and Song 2022 (1991–2010, disputed); Wu et al. 2026; reported matches 2003–2023 and 2006–2013 (Vidale et al. 2025). The 1971–74 and 1991–2010 marks give rates, as slopes; their height on the angle panel is not a measurement. The day tile assumes the inner core hands over only its own spin (Chapter 12): 0.054 ms per 0.1° a year. As of October 2026. This page's model.How far the inner core is ahead of (up) or behind (down) the spot it held in 2003, measured against the mantle, and below that whether it is gaining or losing each year, under six readings of the waves from earthquakes (and, for one, nuclear tests). Two curves are this page's sketches: the 70-year one, and the 20–30-year one, whose timing this page chose. The dial shows both turning together; only the gap between them changes, magnified so you can see it. Switch readings and press Play. The recent readings have it swinging between ahead and behind; they disagree on how fast and how regularly. With Data marks on, the two sloping lines show how fast a study found it turning, not where it was. Shaded years are guesses that carry each reading forward, not predictions.

Set side by side, the four readings published from 2022 on all change sign, and agree on little else; the steady rates of 1996 and 2005 never do. The 1996 rate, kept up, would have moved the inner core 30° in 30 years.

Chapter 11Turning, or changing shape?

The alternative to rotation is a changing surface. In 2006 Lianxing Wen studied a South Sandwich Islands doublet of 1 December 1993 and 6 September 2003, recorded at three stations in Russia and Kyrgyzstan: the reflection off the inner core, PKiKP, arrived earlier in 2003, by "at least from 39 to 70 milliseconds" in his words. He inferred that the radius had "enlarged locally beneath middle Africa by 0.98 to 1.75 kilometers", and left two causes open: "either a differential motion of the inner core", if its surface is bumpy, "or a rapid growth of the inner core by this amount".28 A kilometre in a decade is about a hundred thousand times the mean growth rate (this page's arithmetic).

Wen's group argues that the surface alone explains the changes: localised, episodic changes over 1993–2013, including a drop in the surface of 5.59 km beneath Zimbabwe or Kenya, and one PKiKP change within 8–85 days that rotation could produce only at 8.6° a year or more relative to the mantle, so that rotation "cannot provide a consistent or reasonable interpretation".61 In September 2026 Xin Zhang and Wen, mapping the surface beneath eastern South America over 2003–2024 with one cluster of repeating earthquakes, found irregular episodes of "change, quiescence and recovery" and explained them without any rotation.61 Song's group argues the opposite: the changes come mostly from PKIKP and begin before PKiKP arrives, which rules out the surface as the only source, and the small PKiKP shifts reported since 2006, Wen's among them, in their view likely come from station clock errors and instrument changes.62 The two groups have exchanged comments and replies, most recently in 2024.58,62

In February 2025 Vidale and colleagues found changes between 2004 and 2008 at Yellowknife, whose rays graze the top of the inner core, but not at Eielson, whose rays go deeper. Rotation would change both. Since only the grazing rays changed, the authors place the changes in the shallow inner core; they were gone by 2008–2009. The conclusion is "tentatively both" rotation and local change. The local change is most likely viscous deformation, the surface slowly flowing, pulled by dense regions of the mantle or dragged by the outer core's flow; the shallow inner core's viscosity, its resistance to flow, is "very roughly 1016 to 1017 Pa·s" at most.43 Figure 2's last pair is a sketch of this kind of change.

A yolk in a spinning egg can turn slightly out of step with its shell. But a yolk is loose, while the inner core is held by gravity and magnetic forces, which is why it leads or lags by only fractions of a degree a year; and a yolk keeps its shape.

Where the argument stands (this page's summary). Everyone in this debate agrees the inner-core waves change with time. They disagree on how much is rotation and how much is a changing surface, on the cycle (6, 20–30 or about 70 years, or no regular cycle), and on the exact year the lead became a lag. The newest papers cited here still divide: Wu, Song and Yang (January 2026) favour a slow swing, Vidale and colleagues (2025) rotation with surface change, and Zhang and Wen (September 2026) surface change with no rotation at all.

Part IIIThe core and the day

Chapter 12The length of the day

If the inner core matters at the surface, it is through the length of the day (LOD):

LOD − 86,400 s = d(TAI − UT1)/dtt in days. TAI: International Atomic Time; UT1: the Earth's rotation angle as a time, measured since the 1980s by very-long-baseline interferometry (VLBI) and before that by optical astrometry. This page takes annual means from the monthly UT1 − UTC series EOP 20 C04 of the International Earth Rotation and Reference Systems Service (IERS), the array Nº 9 uses, with the leap seconds added back to turn UTC, the civil time scale, into atomic time.

On that record the day was about 3.1 ms longer than 86,400 s in 1972, 2.4 ms in 1993, 0.3 ms in 2003 and 1.3 ms in 2016, and slightly shorter from 2020 to 2025, −0.25 ms in 2022: a fall of 3.37 ms from 1972 to 2022 (this page's arithmetic from IERS data).63 One millisecond a day is 11.6 parts per billion of the Earth's spin (Nº 16). The same record lies behind the decision that Nº 9 describes, to end leap seconds from 20 May 2027.

The long lengthening, 2.3 ms per century from tides alone and 1.8 ms per century observed over 2,700 years (Nº 9, Nº 16), has nothing to do with the core. The swings over decades come mainly from the core and the mantle exchanging spin.64 Which torque, or twisting force, carries it is not settled: coupling at the core–mantle boundary, or, as Buffett proposed in 1996 and a 2026 study suggests from the data, the inner core's pull (Chapter 13).65

On top sits a six-year oscillation. Richard Holme and Olivier de Viron characterised a 5.9-year oscillation of about 0.13 ms (0.127 ms in the authors' posted manuscript).64 Two explanations compete. Buffett showed in another 1996 paper that gravitational coupling between the mantle and a slightly lopsided inner core could appear in the day, and Jon Mound and Buffett (2006) and Hao Ding and Benjamin Chao (2018) read the six-year signal that way;65,66 Nicolas Gillet and colleagues found in 2010 that "a torsional wave recurring every six years" in the liquid outer core "accounts well for both the phase and the amplitude of the six-year signal", without the inner core.67 In 2025 Mathieu Dumberry, in a theory paper, found that in a magnetic field of a few millitesla, the strength expected in the core, the inner core's gravitational oscillation merges into the outer core's torsional waves, so that the six-year signal "cannot be interpreted as the signature" of it.68 The 2026 lever study finds the pull "inefficient at periods shorter than a few decades".53 The latest theory therefore favours the torsional waves; no observation has settled it.

If the inner core handed over only its own spin to the mantle, the day would change by

ΔLOD = 86,400 s × (Cic/Cm) × Δω/ΩCic = 5.86 × 1034 kg m², the inner core's moment of inertia, from PREM; Cm = 7.12 × 1037 kg m², that of the mantle and crust; ratio 8.2 × 10−4; Ω = 7.2921151467064 × 10−5 rad/s, 131,850° a year. Δω = 0.1° a year gives 0.054 ms, 0.62 parts per billion (this page's estimate).

That is about 0.11 ms at the 0.2° a year peak of this page's sketch of the 2023 reading, and 0.22 ms from the top of its swing to the bottom. The 3.37 ms fall of 1972–2022 is about 60 times the effect of 0.1° a year and about 16 times that whole swing. Carried by the inner core's own spin alone, the six-year oscillation would need about ±0.24° a year, ±0.22° in angle (this page's estimate), close to Wang and Vidale's ±0.25°;56 if the liquid in the cylinder that touches the inner core's equator turned with it, the rate needed would fall two- or threefold.6 VLBI measures changes this small; Nº 16 shows how a ring laser feels the day change, and why VLBI keeps the long record.

Figure 4 draws the day since 1972 with the own-spin curve on the same axis, so you can see how small it is. Move the year to one you remember, then switch to the six-year oscillation, or to the lever of Chapter 13.

Figure 4🎲 Try it

The length of the day

Find your year
Day in 1990, minus 86,400 sYour year's day was longer by
Spin slower by
Own-spin swing, peak to peak (its own spin handed over alone)If it only handed over its own spin: the whole swing, top to bottom
Observed 1972–2022 ÷ own-spin swingThe real swing is bigger by

The length of day minus 86,400 s, annual means 1972–2025, computed by this page from IERS EOP 20 C04 UT1 − UTC (Nº 9's monthly series, leap seconds restored). 'Its own spin' adds the change the inner core would make by handing only its own angular momentum to the mantle (Cic/Cm = 8.2 × 10−4; 0.054 ms per 0.1° a year) while following Figure 3's sketch. 'The six-year oscillation' shows the series, with its slow changes filtered out by this page, and Holme and de Viron's 5.9-year oscillation (about 0.13 ms; 0.127 ms in the authors' posted manuscript) at this page's fitted phase; its two explanations are in Chapter 12. 'As a lever' follows Zhang and Dumberry 2026, who suggest the multidecadal swings are driven mainly by the inner core's gravitational pull on the mantle, the spin supplied by the outer core: the curve is smoothed by this page (Gaussian, half power at about 30 years) with the observed 1.8 ms per century removed, but not the atmospheric and oceanic parts the paper removes; the sliders give ΔLOD = T t LOD/(CmΩ) for the time-varying part of the pull, which peaks at about 2 × 1017 N m in their fit (their Fig. 1b; the steady part is balanced, as the note under the slider says), treating that part as the whole net torque on the mantle. In the paper the torques at the core–mantle boundary resist it, so this is an upper-end estimate; their fit also takes Yang and Song's history as input (Chapter 13). Data to September 2026; as of October 2026. This page's arithmetic.How much longer than 86,400 seconds the average day has been, year by year, against atomic clocks. Move to your birth year. Switch views: on its own spin the inner core explains only a sliver of the changes; working as a lever, as a 2026 study suggests, its pull could move the day by milliseconds. Nobody has settled which is right.

On its own spin, the inner core is a footnote to the day; but it need not act alone.

Chapter 13A lever made of iron

In September 2026 Huifeng Zhang and Mathieu Dumberry combined Yang and Song's rotation history with outer-core flows derived from the magnetic field's slow changes, for 1964–2019, and asked what drives the day's multidecadal changes, those with periods over 30 years. Their curve falls about 3 ms, from +1.4 ms in the early 1970s to −1.7 ms in 2019, after removing the effects of the atmosphere, the oceans and the long trends and applying a 30-year filter. Their results "suggest that the multidecadal LOD changes are driven primarily by the gravitational torque" of the inner core, "resisted by electromagnetic and topographic torques" at the core–mantle boundary.53

Buffett proposed the mechanism in 1996: the liquid core's electromagnetic pull turns the inner core, and gravity hands the spin on to the mantle over decades.65 In the 2026 fit, flows inside the tangent cylinder, the cylinder of liquid that touches the inner core's equator, drag the inner core round. The inner core's shape, with 11–29 m of relief, is turned out of line with the mantle's denser and lighter regions (its mass anomalies) by a further "about 1°", on top of a permanent offset (below), "sufficient to provide the necessary gravitational torque on the mantle":

Γg = Γ α,   Γ ≈ 1.3–1.5 × 1019 N m per radianα: the misalignment; Γ: a strength factor, not the torque (95% range 0.6–4.2 × 1019). The time-varying part of the torque peaks at about 2 × 1017 N m in their Fig. 1b (this page's check: at 1.3 × 1019 N m per radian, each degree of misalignment is worth 2.3 × 1017 N m).

Beneath the swings sits a permanent misalignment of 1.19°, whose steady torque, about 2.9 × 1017 N m by this page's estimate, balances the mean torque at the core–mantle boundary and does not change the day; the bulges flow back into line (relax) in 8–10 years at best fit (95% range 2–31).53 Why can a lever do what the inner core's own spin cannot? This page's estimate:

ΔL = CmΩ × ΔLOD/LOD ≈ 1.8 × 1026 N m s for 3 ms,   ΔLOD = T t × LOD/(CmΩ)ΔL: the angular momentum the mantle must gain or lose to change the day by ΔLOD. A torque T on the mantle (here the time-varying part of Γg) held for a time t moves T t of it; LOD = 86,400 s.

To supply that from its own spin, the inner core would have to change its rate by about 5.6° a year, far beyond the 0.05–0.15° a year of the 2024 summary. A lever needs no such change. Held for a decade, 2 × 1017 N m moves 6.3 × 1025 N m s and changes the day by 1.05 ms, an upper end, since the core–mantle torques resist the pull; the change in the day depends only on the torque and how long it acts. The spin comes from the outer core, which has about 155 times the inner core's moment of inertia, so its rate need change by only 0.036° a year to supply all 3 ms. Figure 4's lever view turns this arithmetic into two sliders, for the pull and its duration.

The caveats are the paper's. Its torque histories are "tied to the accuracy of the inner core rotation and core flow models". It takes Yang and Song's history as input, so it supports that history only if the model is right. And the abstract's starting point, that "the precise nature of the core–mantle torque remains unknown", still holds for the shorter swings: below a few decades the pull is inefficient, the paper's modelled boundary torques "do not contain large decadal fluctuations" either, and the paper says its models of the boundary coupling may "need refining". A commentary published with the paper in Nature (a News & Views) states the result more firmly;69 this page keeps the paper's own word, "suggest".

So the inner core may move the day as a lever, not a flywheel: an idea from 1996, now backed by one refereed study of the data, a month old as of October 2026.

Chapter 14Out of step, not stopped

The inner core turns once a day, like the mantle and like you. Everything this page says about its rotation is a difference of a fraction of a degree a year: a lead that, in the 2023 and 2024 readings, became a lag around 2008 to 2010. Nº 16 ends with the Paris pendulum on the same question, "relative to what?"; here the answer is the mantle.

What the story does not mean:

Stopped spinning
It turns once a day throughout; only its lead on the mantle changed sign (Chapter 10).
Spinning backwards
A lag is not a reversed spin, any more than a runner a stride behind runs backwards (Chapter 8).
Slowing the Earth
The day's long lengthening is tidal; the core swings it both ways by milliseconds (Chapters 12 and 13).
A proven 70-year cycle
One group's model, against 20–30 years, six years and an asymmetric backtrack (Chapters 9 and 10).
Exactly a millimetre a year
An order of magnitude: 0.4–1.2 mm a year today for the most-cited ages (Chapter 5).
One giant crystal
A ball of many aligned iron crystals (Chapter 4).
Hotter than the Sun
About as hot as the Sun's surface, far cooler than its interior (Chapter 3).

Where things stand, as of 25 October 2026: the inner-core waves change with time; the 2024 matches are, in their authors' view, the strongest evidence that the lead became a lag; how much is rotation and how much surface, the period, the inner core's age and the lever are all argued.

Glossary

Inner-core boundary, core–mantle boundary
The inner-core boundary, 1,221.5 km from the centre, and the core–mantle boundary, 3,480 km from it.
PREM
The Preliminary Reference Earth Model (1981): density, pressure and wave speeds at every depth, averaged over the sphere.
P and S waves
Compressional (P) and shear (S) seismic waves. Shear waves cannot cross a liquid.
PKIKP, PKiKP, PKP
PKIKP (PKP(DF)) crosses the inner core; PKiKP reflects off it; PKP(BC) and PKP(AB) turn above it.
Coda
The later wiggles after a wave's first arrival; for PKIKP, waves scattered inside the inner core.
Normal modes
The whole Earth ringing at fixed frequencies after a great earthquake.
Seismic anisotropy
Wave speed depending on direction; in the inner core, faster pole to pole.
hcp, bcc iron
Two ways of stacking iron atoms: in hexagonal layers (hcp), or in cubes with one atom at the centre (bcc).
Superionic
A solid in which light atoms diffuse almost like a liquid through a fixed lattice.
Innermost inner core
A central region, 250–700 km in radius, whose crystals seem aligned differently.
Latent heat
The heat released when a liquid freezes: 600–1,200 kJ/kg for iron at the inner-core boundary.
Geodynamo
The convecting liquid outer core that generates the Earth's magnetic field.
Thermal conductivity
How well a material carries heat; disputed for core iron, and with it the inner core's age.
Supercooling, nucleation paradox
Cooling below the melting point before crystals form; pure iron needs more than the core probably had.
Palaeomagnetism
The ancient magnetic field's record in rocks.
Doublet
Two earthquakes years apart on the same patch of fault, with nearly identical waveforms.
Cross-correlation
How well two waveforms match at a given shift, from −1 to 1.
Differential rotation; super-, sub-rotation
The inner core turning slightly faster or slower than the mantle; both turn once a day.
LOD, UT1
The length of the day against atomic time; UT1 is the Earth's rotation angle as a time.
VLBI
Very-long-baseline interferometry: radio telescopes timing quasars, which keeps the long UT1 record.
Torque
A twisting force, in newton metres (N m). Held for a time, it changes a body's spin: torque × time is the angular momentum moved.
Moment of inertia, angular momentum
A body's resistance to changes in its spin, and the spin it carries.
Gravitational coupling
The pull between the inner core's uneven shape and the mantle's mass anomalies.
Torsional waves
Oscillations in which cylinders of outer-core liquid twist about the axis, held by the magnetic field.

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